Publications

Future Forum publishes, on a regular basis, briefing notes, in-depth analyses, factsheets and other documents related to public policy, politics, human rights and other related issues in Cambodia. We also publish a number of additional documents through our Advisory Services, which are not always made public. Please contact us for more information. 

 

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Snapshot:  Why is it so hard for small political parties to win seats in the National Assembly?

This snapshot provides an explanation of the seat allocation formulas to political parties that have been utilized in Cambodia’s electoral process. It gives a comparison between two seat allocation methods including “largest remainder” method, which was applied in 1993, and the “highest average” method, which has been applied since 1998. 

 

 

Release Date: 14 August 2017

Author: Eng Sokha and Sim You Heng 

Seat Allocation Formulas _NA Election
Future-Forum_Seat-Allocation Formula_(Au[...]
Adobe Acrobat document [477.2 KB]

Snapshot: Changes in Voters’ Socio-Economic Status 

This snapshot provides an overview of socio-economic changes in Cambodia that may be affecting voting habits. It is specifically focused on changes in employment and consumption patterns and uses socio-economic changes as indicators of social change. To conclude, the snapshot makes the argument that politicians should embrace the reality of this social change and start addressing real political issues that correspond to the need of people.

 

Release Date: 9 May 2017

Author: Future Forum

Changes in Voters’ Socio-Economic Status
Snapshot_Change in Voters Socio-Economic[...]
Adobe Acrobat document [100.5 KB]

2016 Political Analysis - Summary Version

This Paper provides a brief overview and analysis of the current political situation in Cambodia, focusing on the strategies being employed by each major player, the historical trends behind these methods and the risks they pose for Cambodia. It first provides a brief overview of the 2012 Commune Council elections and the 2013 national elections, then summarizes the litany of political developments – and particularly, the threats leveraged against the opposition – starting during the second half of 2015 and leading up to the present, and finally provides an analysis of the different strategies being utilized by the main political parties – the ruling Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) and the opposition Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) – before providing a summary of the potential risks for Cambodia if it continues down its current path. This is a summary of a long paper, which provides in-depth analysis; please contact Future Forum for access to the full-length document. 

 

Release Date: 7 February 2017

Author: Future Forum

2016 Political Analysis - Summary Version - English
2016 Political Analysis - SUMMARY.pdf
Adobe Acrobat document [507.4 KB]
2016 Political Analysis - Summary Version - Khmer
វេទិកា​អនាគត_ការវិភាគ​នយោបាយ​សង្ខេប​_២០១[...]
Adobe Acrobat document [580.7 KB]

Snapshot: National Assembly Seat Allocations

This snapshot provides a brief background of the existing legal framework and the formulas for recalculating the number of National Assembly (NA) seats – and their distribution across provinces – as stipulated in the Law on Election of Members of the National Assembly (LEMNA) in the Kingdom of Cambodia. In the context of upcoming national elections due to be held in July 2018, this snapshot argues that the seat numbers and allocation provided for in the latest iteration of the LEMNA are inadequate and provides an alternative figure based solely on population projections. 

 

Release Date: 30 January 2017

Author: Future Forum

National Assembly Seat Allocation - English
Future Forum - Snapshot - National Assem[...]
Adobe Acrobat document [783.3 KB]

Briefing Paper: Moving Beyond the January 7 Narrative

Nearly four decades on, January 7th remains by far the most significant fault-line in contemporary Cambodian politics, a pivot-point for two competing political myths. Exploring the origin and content of these myths - which is the focus of this paper - is important because they remain a primary obstacle to the formulation of new politics driven by consensus, dialogue, and mutual respect, rather than the fierce hostility which has characterized Cambodian politics since the country’s independence. As long as Cambodian politicians continue fighting old battles, they will struggle to put forward concrete policies that stand any chance of addressing the challenges of the 21st century.

 

Release Date: 6 January 2017

Author: Future Forum

Moving Beyond the January 7 Narrative - English
Future Forum - _Moving Beyond the Januar[...]
Adobe Acrobat document [455.8 KB]
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